[1]范转转.中国归因于痴呆症的疾病经济负担变化趋势分析及预测[J].卫生经济研究,2025,42(05):70-73.
　FAN Zhuanzhuan.Study on Trend Analysis and Prediction of Economic Burden of Diseases Attributed to Dementia in China[J].Journal Press of Health Economics Research,2025,42(05):70-73.
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中国归因于痴呆症的疾病经济负担变化趋势分析及预测
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卫生经济研究[ISSN:1004-7778/CN:33-1056/F]

卷:
42
期数:
2025年05期
页码:
70-73
栏目:
成本与费用
出版日期:
2025-04-24

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on Trend Analysis and Prediction of Economic Burden of Diseases Attributed to Dementia in China
作者:
范转转1
1.江苏省南京市疾病预防控制中心，江苏 南京 210003
Author(s):
FAN Zhuanzhuan
Nanjing Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing Jiangsu 210003, China
关键词:
痴呆症; 疾病经济负担; 变化趋势; 预测
Keywords:
dementia;  economic burden of disease;  trend;  prediction
分类号:
R19
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
目的：分析我国归因于痴呆症的疾病经济负担及其变化趋势，为优化政策提供参考。方法：基于2000—2019年中国归因于痴呆症的疾病经济负担数据，分析疾病经济负担变化趋势，并利用时间序列模型预测未来10年中国归因于痴呆症的疾病经济负担。结果：2000—2019年中国归因于痴呆症的直接疾病经济负担、间接疾病经济负担、总疾病经济负担均呈上升趋势，变化趋势均有统计学意义（P<0.001）；预测结果显示，未来10年中国归因于痴呆症的疾病经济负担将持续上升。结论：我国归因于痴呆症的疾病经济负担居高不下且呈不断上升趋势，防控形势十分严峻，应完善痴呆症患者照护服务体系，提高预防与早期诊断能力，从而缓解痴呆症造成的疾病经济负担。
Abstract:
Objective To analyze the economic burden of disease attributed to dementia and its changing trends in China, and to provide reference for optimizing policies. Methods Based on the data on the economic burden of diseases attributed to dementia in China from 2000 to 2019, the trend in the economic burden of diseases was analyzed. The time series model was used to predict the economic burden of disease attributed to dementia in China in the next 10 years. Results The direct economic burden, the indirect economic burden and the total economic burden of diseases attributed to dementia in China showed an increasing trend from 2000 to 2019, and the trends were statistically significant(P<0.001). The prediction results showed that the economic burden of disease attributed to dementia in China would continue to increase in the next 10 years. Conclusion The economic burden of diseases attributed to dementia in China remains high and is on the rise, and the situation of prevention and control is very serious. It is necessary to improve the care service system for patients with dementia, and improve the ability of prevention and early diagnosis, so as to alleviate the economic burden of diseases caused by dementia.

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更新日期/Last Update: 2025-04-24