[1]梁冰华,黄李凤.我国卫生资源配置效率评价及预测研究[J].卫生经济研究,2021,38(6):28-31,35.
 LIANG Bing-hua,HUANG Li-feng.Study on Evaluation and Prediction of Health Resource Allocation Efficiency in China[J].Journal Press of Health Economics Research,2021,38(6):28-31,35.
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我国卫生资源配置效率评价及预测研究
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卫生经济研究[ISSN:1004-7778/CN:33-1056/F]

卷:
38
期数:
2021年6期
页码:
28-31,35
栏目:
卫生资源
出版日期:
2021-05-28

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on Evaluation and Prediction of Health Resource Allocation Efficiency in China
作者:
梁冰华1黄李凤1
1.广西医科大学人文社会科学学院,广西 南宁530021
Author(s):
LIANG Bing-hua HUANG Li-feng
College of Humanities and Social Sciences, Guangxi Medical University,Nanning Guangxi 530021, China
关键词:
数据包络分析卫生资源配置灰色预测模型规模效率
Keywords:
data envelopment analysis health resource allocation grey prediction model scale efficiency
分类号:
R19
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
目的:评价2009—2019年我国卫生资源配置效率,预测“十四五”期间卫生资源需求。方法:采用 DEA-BCC和Malmquist 指数模型分析卫生资源配置效率,通过灰色预测模型GM(1,1)预测“十四五”期间卫生资源需求。结果:2009—2019年我国卫生资源配置的综合效率均值为0.998,整体处于良好水平,但省际间差异显著;各年度卫生资源配置的全要素生产率均值为0.994,技术进步率对卫生资源配置效率的影响显著;预测“十四五”期间,我国卫生资源投入产出指标均呈逐年增长态势。结论:平衡省际间卫生资源配置总量,在提高卫生资源配置效率的同时,兼顾公平性,推动后发地区医疗技术的提升,促进卫生资源的优化配置。
Abstract:
Objective To evaluate the efficiency of health resource allocation in China from 2009 to 2019 and predict the demand for health resources during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period. Methods This paper uses DEA-BCC and Malmquist Index Model to analyze the efficiency of health resource allocation and predict the demand for health resources during the "14th Five-Year Plan" by using the grey prediction model GM (1,1). Results The average comprehensive efficiency of health resource allocation in China from 2009 to 2019 is 0.998, which is at a good level as a whole, but there are significant differences among provinces. The average total factor productivity of health resource allocation in each year is 0.994 and the rate of technological progress has a significant impact on the efficiency of health resource allocation. Conclusion It is necessary to balance the total amount of inter-provincial allocation of health resources, improve the efficiency of health resource allocation and take into account fairness, promote the improvement of medical technology in underdeveloped areas.

参考文献/References:

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更新日期/Last Update: 2021-05-28